3.1、随机森林之随机森林实例
随机森林
junjun
2016年2月8日
随机森林实例
实例一、用随机森林对鸢尾花数据进行分类
#1、加载数据并查看
data("iris")
summary(iris)
## Sepal.Length Sepal.Width Petal.Length Petal.Width
## Min. :4.300 Min. :2.000 Min. :1.000 Min. :0.100
## 1st Qu.:5.100 1st Qu.:2.800 1st Qu.:1.600 1st Qu.:0.300
## Median :5.800 Median :3.000 Median :4.350 Median :1.300
## Mean :5.843 Mean :3.057 Mean :3.758 Mean :1.199
## 3rd Qu.:6.400 3rd Qu.:3.300 3rd Qu.:5.100 3rd Qu.:1.800
## Max. :7.900 Max. :4.400 Max. :6.900 Max. :2.500
## Species
## setosa :50
## versicolor:50
## virginica :50
##
##
##
str(iris)
## 'data.frame': 150 obs. of 5 variables:
## $ Sepal.Length: num 5.1 4.9 4.7 4.6 5 5.4 4.6 5 4.4 4.9 ...
## $ Sepal.Width : num 3.5 3 3.2 3.1 3.6 3.9 3.4 3.4 2.9 3.1 ...
## $ Petal.Length: num 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.5 ...
## $ Petal.Width : num 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 ...
## $ Species : Factor w/ 3 levels "setosa","versicolor",..: 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
#2、创建训练集和测试集数据
set.seed(2001)
library(caret)
## Loading required package: lattice
## Loading required package: ggplot2
## Warning: package 'ggplot2' was built under R version 3.2.3
index <- createDataPartition(iris$Species, p=0.7, list=F)
train_iris <- iris[index, ]
test_iris <- iris[-index, ]#3、建模
library(randomForest)
## randomForest 4.6-12
## Type rfNews() to see new features/changes/bug fixes.
##
## Attaching package: 'randomForest'
## The following object is masked from 'package:ggplot2':
##
## margin
model_iris <- randomForest(Species~., data=train_iris, ntree=50, nPerm=10, mtry=3, proximity=T, importance=T)#4、模型评估
model_iris
##
## Call:
## randomForest(formula = Species ~ ., data = train_iris, ntree = 50, nPerm = 10, mtry = 3, proximity = T, importance = T)
## Type of random forest: classification
## Number of trees: 50
## No. of variables tried at each split: 3
##
## OOB estimate of error rate: 4.76%
## Confusion matrix:
## setosa versicolor virginica class.error
## setosa 35 0 0 0.00000000
## versicolor 0 32 3 0.08571429
## virginica 0 2 33 0.05714286
str(model_iris)
## List of 19
## $ call : language randomForest(formula = Species ~ ., data = train_iris, ntree = 50, nPerm = 10, mtry = 3, proximity = T, importance = T)
## $ type : chr "classification"
## $ predicted : Factor w/ 3 levels "setosa","versicolor",..: 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## ..- attr(*, "names")= chr [1:105] "5" "7" "8" "11" ...
## $ err.rate : num [1:50, 1:4] 0.0513 0.0758 0.0741 0.0435 0.0505 ...
## ..- attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
## .. ..$ : NULL
## .. ..$ : chr [1:4] "OOB" "setosa" "versicolor" "virginica"
## $ confusion : num [1:3, 1:4] 35 0 0 0 32 2 0 3 33 0 ...
## ..- attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
## .. ..$ : chr [1:3] "setosa" "versicolor" "virginica"
## .. ..$ : chr [1:4] "setosa" "versicolor" "virginica" "class.error"
## $ votes : matrix [1:105, 1:3] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## ..- attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
## .. ..$ : chr [1:105] "5" "7" "8" "11" ...
## .. ..$ : chr [1:3] "setosa" "versicolor" "virginica"
## ..- attr(*, "class")= chr [1:2] "matrix" "votes"
## $ oob.times : num [1:105] 15 23 22 16 17 11 20 20 17 19 ...
## $ classes : chr [1:3] "setosa" "versicolor" "virginica"
## $ importance : num [1:4, 1:5] 0 0 0.3417 0.34918 -0.00518 ...
## ..- attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
## .. ..$ : chr [1:4] "Sepal.Length" "Sepal.Width" "Petal.Length" "Petal.Width"
## .. ..$ : chr [1:5] "setosa" "versicolor" "virginica" "MeanDecreaseAccuracy" ...
## $ importanceSD : num [1:4, 1:4] 0 0 0.04564 0.04711 0.00395 ...
## ..- attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
## .. ..$ : chr [1:4] "Sepal.Length" "Sepal.Width" "Petal.Length" "Petal.Width"
## .. ..$ : chr [1:4] "setosa" "versicolor" "virginica" "MeanDecreaseAccuracy"
## $ localImportance: NULL
## $ proximity : num [1:105, 1:105] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## ..- attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
## .. ..$ : chr [1:105] "5" "7" "8" "11" ...
## .. ..$ : chr [1:105] "5" "7" "8" "11" ...
## $ ntree : num 50
## $ mtry : num 3
## $ forest :List of 14
## ..$ ndbigtree : int [1:50] 11 5 9 9 9 9 9 11 11 9 ...
## ..$ nodestatus: int [1:17, 1:50] 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 ...
## ..$ bestvar : int [1:17, 1:50] 4 0 4 3 3 0 0 1 0 0 ...
## ..$ treemap : int [1:17, 1:2, 1:50] 2 0 4 6 8 0 0 10 0 0 ...
## ..$ nodepred : int [1:17, 1:50] 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 3 2 ...
## ..$ xbestsplit: num [1:17, 1:50] 0.8 0 1.65 5.25 4.85 0 0 6.05 0 0 ...
## ..$ pid : num [1:3] 1 1 1
## ..$ cutoff : num [1:3] 0.333 0.333 0.333
## ..$ ncat : Named int [1:4] 1 1 1 1
## .. ..- attr(*, "names")= chr [1:4] "Sepal.Length" "Sepal.Width" "Petal.Length" "Petal.Width"
## ..$ maxcat : int 1
## ..$ nrnodes : int 17
## ..$ ntree : num 50
## ..$ nclass : int 3
## ..$ xlevels :List of 4
## .. ..$ Sepal.Length: num 0
## .. ..$ Sepal.Width : num 0
## .. ..$ Petal.Length: num 0
## .. ..$ Petal.Width : num 0
## $ y : Factor w/ 3 levels "setosa","versicolor",..: 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ...
## ..- attr(*, "names")= chr [1:105] "5" "7" "8" "11" ...
## $ test : NULL
## $ inbag : NULL
## $ terms :Classes 'terms', 'formula' length 3 Species ~ Sepal.Length + Sepal.Width + Petal.Length + Petal.Width
## .. ..- attr(*, "variables")= language list(Species, Sepal.Length, Sepal.Width, Petal.Length, Petal.Width)
## .. ..- attr(*, "factors")= int [1:5, 1:4] 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 ...
## .. .. ..- attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
## .. .. .. ..$ : chr [1:5] "Species" "Sepal.Length" "Sepal.Width" "Petal.Length" ...
## .. .. .. ..$ : chr [1:4] "Sepal.Length" "Sepal.Width" "Petal.Length" "Petal.Width"
## .. ..- attr(*, "term.labels")= chr [1:4] "Sepal.Length" "Sepal.Width" "Petal.Length" "Petal.Width"
## .. ..- attr(*, "order")= int [1:4] 1 1 1 1
## .. ..- attr(*, "intercept")= num 0
## .. ..- attr(*, "response")= int 1
## .. ..- attr(*, ".Environment")=<environment: R_GlobalEnv>
## .. ..- attr(*, "predvars")= language list(Species, Sepal.Length, Sepal.Width, Petal.Length, Petal.Width)
## .. ..- attr(*, "dataClasses")= Named chr [1:5] "factor" "numeric" "numeric" "numeric" ...
## .. .. ..- attr(*, "names")= chr [1:5] "Species" "Sepal.Length" "Sepal.Width" "Petal.Length" ...
## - attr(*, "class")= chr [1:2] "randomForest.formula" "randomForest"
pred <- predict(model_iris, train_iris)
mean(pred==train_iris[, 5])
## [1] 1
#5、预测
pred_iris <- predict(model_iris, test_iris)
table(pred_iris, test_iris[, 5])
##
## pred_iris setosa versicolor virginica
## setosa 15 0 0
## versicolor 0 13 2
## virginica 0 2 13
mean(pred_iris==test_iris[, 5])
## [1] 0.9111111
library(gmodels)
CrossTable(pred_iris, test_iris[, 5])
##
##
## Cell Contents
## |-------------------------|
## | N |
## | Chi-square contribution |
## | N / Row Total |
## | N / Col Total |
## | N / Table Total |
## |-------------------------|
##
##
## Total Observations in Table: 45
##
##
## | test_iris[, 5]
## pred_iris | setosa | versicolor | virginica | Row Total |
## -------------|------------|------------|------------|------------|
## setosa | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
## | 20.000 | 5.000 | 5.000 | |
## | 1.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.333 |
## | 1.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
## | 0.333 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
## -------------|------------|------------|------------|------------|
## versicolor | 0 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
## | 5.000 | 12.800 | 1.800 | |
## | 0.000 | 0.867 | 0.133 | 0.333 |
## | 0.000 | 0.867 | 0.133 | |
## | 0.000 | 0.289 | 0.044 | |
## -------------|------------|------------|------------|------------|
## virginica | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 |
## | 5.000 | 1.800 | 12.800 | |
## | 0.000 | 0.133 | 0.867 | 0.333 |
## | 0.000 | 0.133 | 0.867 | |
## | 0.000 | 0.044 | 0.289 | |
## -------------|------------|------------|------------|------------|
## Column Total | 15 | 15 | 15 | 45 |
## | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | |
## -------------|------------|------------|------------|------------|
##
##
实例二、用坦泰尼克号乘客是否存活数据应用到随机森林算法中
在随机森林算法的函数randomForest()中有两个非常重要的参数,而这两个参数又将影响模型的准确性,它们分别是mtry和ntree。一般对mtry的选择是逐一尝试,直到找到比较理想的值,ntree的选择可通过图形大致判断模型内误差稳定时的值。 randomForest包中的randomForest(formula, data, ntree, nPerm, mtry, proximity, importace)函数:随机森林分类与回归。ntree表示生成决策树的数目(不应设置太小,默认为 500);nPerm表示计算importance时的重复次数,数量大于1给出了比较稳定的估计,但不是很有效(目前只实现了回归);mtry表示选择的分裂属性的个数;proximity表示是否生成邻近矩阵,为T表示生成邻近矩阵;importance表示输出分裂属性的重要性。
下面使用坦泰尼克号乘客是否存活数据应用到随机森林算法中,看看模型的准确性如何。
#1、加载数据并查看:同时读取训练样本和测试样本集
train <- read.table("F:\\R\\Rworkspace\\RandomForest/train.csv", header=T, sep=",")
test <- read.table("F:\\R\\Rworkspace\\RandomForest/test.csv", header=T, sep=",")
#注意:训练集和测试集数据来自不同的数据集,一定要注意测试集和训练集的factor的levels相同,否则,在利用训练集训练的模型对测试集进行预测时,会报错!!!str(train)
## 'data.frame': 891 obs. of 8 variables:
## $ Survived: int 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 ...
## $ Pclass : int 3 1 3 1 3 3 1 3 3 2 ...
## $ Sex : Factor w/ 2 levels "female","male": 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 ...
## $ Age : num 22 38 26 35 35 NA 54 2 27 14 ...
## $ SibSp : int 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 1 ...
## $ Parch : int 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 ...
## $ Fare : num 7.25 71.28 7.92 53.1 8.05 ...
## $ Embarked: Factor w/ 4 levels "","C","Q","S": 4 2 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 2 ...
str(test)
## 'data.frame': 418 obs. of 7 variables:
## $ Pclass : int 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 ...
## $ Sex : Factor w/ 2 levels "female","male": 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 ...
## $ Age : num 34.5 47 62 27 22 14 30 26 18 21 ...
## $ SibSp : int 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 ...
## $ Parch : int 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 ...
## $ Fare : num 7.83 7 9.69 8.66 12.29 ...
## $ Embarked: Factor w/ 3 levels "C","Q","S": 2 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 1 3 ...
#从上可知:训练集数据共891条记录,8个变量,Embarked因子水平为4;测试集数据共418条记录,7个变量,Embarked因子水平为3;训练集中存在缺失数据;Survived因变量为数字类型,测试集数据无因变量#2、数据清洗
#1)调整测试集与训练基地因子水平
levels(train$Embarked)
## [1] "" "C" "Q" "S"
levels(test$Embarked)
## [1] "C" "Q" "S"
levels(test$Embarked) <- levels(train$Embarked)#2)把因变量转化为因子类型
train$Survived <- as.factor(train$Survived)#3)使用rfImpute()函数补齐训练集的缺失值NA
library(randomForest)
train_impute <- rfImpute(Survived~., data=train)
## ntree OOB 1 2
## 300: 16.39% 7.83% 30.12%
## ntree OOB 1 2
## 300: 16.50% 8.93% 28.65%
## ntree OOB 1 2
## 300: 16.72% 8.74% 29.53%
## ntree OOB 1 2
## 300: 16.50% 8.56% 29.24%
## ntree OOB 1 2
## 300: 17.28% 9.47% 29.82%
#4)补齐测试集的缺失值:对待测样本进行预测,发现待测样本中存在缺失值,这里使用多重插补法将缺失值补齐
summary(test)
## Pclass Sex Age SibSp
## Min. :1.000 female:152 Min. : 0.17 Min. :0.0000
## 1st Qu.:1.000 male :266 1st Qu.:21.00 1st Qu.:0.0000
## Median :3.000 Median :27.00 Median :0.0000
## Mean :2.266 Mean :30.27 Mean :0.4474
## 3rd Qu.:3.000 3rd Qu.:39.00 3rd Qu.:1.0000
## Max. :3.000 Max. :76.00 Max. :8.0000
## NA's :86
## Parch Fare Embarked
## Min. :0.0000 Min. : 0.000 :102
## 1st Qu.:0.0000 1st Qu.: 7.896 C: 46
## Median :0.0000 Median : 14.454 Q:270
## Mean :0.3923 Mean : 35.627 S: 0
## 3rd Qu.:0.0000 3rd Qu.: 31.500
## Max. :9.0000 Max. :512.329
## NA's :1
#可是看出测试集数据存在缺失值NA,Age和Fare的数据有NA#多重插补法填充缺失值:
library(mice)
## Loading required package: Rcpp
## mice 2.25 2015-11-09
imput <- mice(data=test, m=10)
##
## iter imp variable
## 1 1 Age Fare
## 1 2 Age Fare
## 1 3 Age Fare
## 1 4 Age Fare
## 1 5 Age Fare
## 1 6 Age Fare
## 1 7 Age Fare
## 1 8 Age Fare
## 1 9 Age Fare
## 1 10 Age Fare
## 2 1 Age Fare
## 2 2 Age Fare
## 2 3 Age Fare
## 2 4 Age Fare
## 2 5 Age Fare
## 2 6 Age Fare
## 2 7 Age Fare
## 2 8 Age Fare
## 2 9 Age Fare
## 2 10 Age Fare
## 3 1 Age Fare
## 3 2 Age Fare
## 3 3 Age Fare
## 3 4 Age Fare
## 3 5 Age Fare
## 3 6 Age Fare
## 3 7 Age Fare
## 3 8 Age Fare
## 3 9 Age Fare
## 3 10 Age Fare
## 4 1 Age Fare
## 4 2 Age Fare
## 4 3 Age Fare
## 4 4 Age Fare
## 4 5 Age Fare
## 4 6 Age Fare
## 4 7 Age Fare
## 4 8 Age Fare
## 4 9 Age Fare
## 4 10 Age Fare
## 5 1 Age Fare
## 5 2 Age Fare
## 5 3 Age Fare
## 5 4 Age Fare
## 5 5 Age Fare
## 5 6 Age Fare
## 5 7 Age Fare
## 5 8 Age Fare
## 5 9 Age Fare
## 5 10 Age Fare
Age <- data.frame(Age=apply(imput$imp$Age, 1, mean))
Fare <- data.frame(Fare=apply(imput$imp$Fare, 1, mean))#添加行标号:
test$Id <- row.names(test)
Age$Id <- row.names(Age)
Fare$Id <- row.names(Fare)#替换缺失值:
test[test$Id %in% Age$Id, 'Age'] <- Age$Age
test[test$Id %in% Fare$Id, 'Fare'] <- Fare$Fare
summary(test)
## Pclass Sex Age SibSp
## Min. :1.000 female:152 Min. : 0.17 Min. :0.0000
## 1st Qu.:1.000 male :266 1st Qu.:22.00 1st Qu.:0.0000
## Median :3.000 Median :26.19 Median :0.0000
## Mean :2.266 Mean :29.41 Mean :0.4474
## 3rd Qu.:3.000 3rd Qu.:36.65 3rd Qu.:1.0000
## Max. :3.000 Max. :76.00 Max. :8.0000
## Parch Fare Embarked Id
## Min. :0.0000 Min. : 0.000 :102 Length:418
## 1st Qu.:0.0000 1st Qu.: 7.896 C: 46 Class :character
## Median :0.0000 Median : 14.454 Q:270 Mode :character
## Mean :0.3923 Mean : 35.583 S: 0
## 3rd Qu.:0.0000 3rd Qu.: 31.472
## Max. :9.0000 Max. :512.329
#从上可知:测试数据集中已经没有了NA值。#3、选着随机森林的mtry和ntree值
#1)选着mtry
(n <- length(names(train)))
## [1] 8
library(randomForest)
for(i in 1:n) {model <- randomForest(Survived~., data=train_impute, mtry=i)err <- mean(model$err.rate)print(err)
}
## [1] 0.2100028
## [1] 0.1889116
## [1] 0.1776607
## [1] 0.1902606
## [1] 0.1960938
## [1] 0.1953451
## [1] 0.1951303
## [1] 0.2018745
#从上可知:mtry=2或者mtry=3时,模型内评价误差最小,故确定参数mtry=2或者mtry=3#2)选着ntree
set.seed(2002)
model <- randomForest(Survived~., data=train_impute, mtry=2, ntree=1000)
plot(model)
#从上图可知:ntree在400左右时,模型内误差基本稳定,故取ntree=400#4、建模
model_fit <- randomForest(Survived~., data=train_impute, mtry=2, ntree=400, importance=T)#5、模型评估
model_fit
##
## Call:
## randomForest(formula = Survived ~ ., data = train_impute, mtry = 2, ntree = 400, importance = T)
## Type of random forest: classification
## Number of trees: 400
## No. of variables tried at each split: 2
##
## OOB estimate of error rate: 16.61%
## Confusion matrix:
## 0 1 class.error
## 0 500 49 0.08925319
## 1 99 243 0.28947368
#查看变量的重要性
(importance <- importance(x=model_fit))
## 0 1 MeanDecreaseAccuracy MeanDecreaseGini
## Pclass 16.766454 28.241508 32.16125 33.15984
## Sex 46.578191 76.145306 72.42624 100.74843
## Age 19.882605 24.586274 30.52032 60.85186
## SibSp 19.070707 2.834303 18.95690 16.11720
## Parch 10.366140 8.380559 13.18282 12.28725
## Fare 18.649672 20.967558 29.43262 66.31489
## Embarked 7.904436 11.479919 14.18780 12.68924
#绘制变量的重要性图
varImpPlot(model_fit)
#从上图可知:模型中乘客的性别最为重要,接下来的是Pclass,age,Fare和Fare,age,Pclass。#6、预测
#1)对训练集数据预测:
train_pred <- predict(model_fit, train_impute)
mean(train_pred==train_impute$Survived)
## [1] 0.9135802
table(train_pred, train_impute$Survived)
##
## train_pred 0 1
## 0 535 63
## 1 14 279
#模型的预测精度在90%以上#2)对测试集数据预测:
test_pred <- predict(model_fit, test[, 1:7])
head(test_pred)
## 1 2 3 4 5 6
## 0 0 0 0 1 0
## Levels: 0 1
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