发布时间

2022年10月17日

文章链接

https：//www.gartner.com/en

供稿人

David Groombridge

1、Digital Immune System

2、Applied Observability

3、AI Trust, Risk and Security Management (AI TRISM)

4、Industry Cloud Platforms

5、Platform Engineering

6、Wireless-Value Realization

7、Superapps

8、Adaptive AI

9、Metaverse

10、Sustainable Technology

1、数字免疫系统

2、应用可观察性

3、AI信任、风险与安全管理(AI TRISM)

4、行业云平台

5、平台工程

6、无线价值实现

7、超级应用程序

8、自适应人工智能

9、元宇宙

10、可持续性技术

Maybe your business needs to save costs, to improve margin or to reinvest. Or maybe your enterprise is still trying to grow. Perhaps this is the time for a pivot — to reinvent the business model. Some of you may even need to do all of these at once.

Business leaders and technologists can use this list to assess the potential impact of these technology trends on your specific strategies, such as growing revenue, accelerating digital, maximizing value from data, or protecting and building your brand.

也许你的企业需要节省成本，提高利润率或进行再投资。或者你的企业还在努力成长。或许，现在是进行转型的时候了——重塑商业模式。你们中的一些人甚至需要同时做所有这些事情。

商业领袖和技术专家可以使用这个列表来评估这些技术趋势对你的具体战略的潜在影响，比如增加收入，加速数字化，最大化数据价值，或者保护和建立你的品牌。

These trends could represent a risk or opportunity for your organization and this list will help you create a technology roadmap to drive impact on a range of strategic ambitions.

By looking at when these trends will become most relevant, you can establish your own pathway, realizing they also don’t need to be done all at once.

这些趋势可能代表您的组织的风险或机会，这个列表将帮助您创建一个技术路线图，以推动对一系列战略雄心的影响。

通过观察这些趋势何时变得最相关，你可以建立自己的路径，意识到它们也不需要一次性完成。

We expect the 2023 trends to impact enterprise strategies in the coming three years by enabling organizations to address four key priorities：

我们预计2023年的趋势将在未来三年影响企业战略，使组织能够解决四个关键优先事项：

Optimizing resilience, operations or trust

Scaling vertical solutions, product delivery or everywhere

Pioneering customer engagement, accelerated responses or opportunity

Pursuing sustainable technology solutions

(1)、优化弹性、操作或信任

(2)、扩展垂直解决方案，产品交付或无处不在

(3)、开创客户参与，加速响应或机会

(4)、追求可持续的技术解决方案

These trends optimize IT systems for greater reliability, improve data-driven decision making and maintain value and integrity of artificial intelligence (AI) systems in production.

这些趋势优化了IT系统，提高了可靠性，改善了数据驱动的决策，并保持了生产中人工智能(AI)系统的价值和完整性。

Digital Immune System creates an enhanced customer experience by combining multiple software engineering strategies to protect against risk. Through observability, automation, and extreme design and testing, it delivers resilient systems that mitigate operational and security risks.

Applied Observability works from the data emitted by an organization, using AI to analyze and make recommendations, which allow an enterprise to make faster and more accurate future decisions. When applied systematically, it can reduce the latency for response and optimize business operations in real time.

AI TRiSM supports AI model governance, trustworthiness, fairness, reliability, robustness, efficacy and data protection. It combines methods for explaining AI results, rapidly deploying new models, actively managing AI security, and controls for privacy and ethics issues.

数字免疫系统，通过结合多种软件工程策略来抵御风险，创造了增强的客户体验。通过可观察性、自动化以及极限设计和测试，它提供了可弹性系统，降低了操作和安全风险。降低风险和提高客户满意度。

Gartner预测，到2025年，投资建设数字免疫系统的企业机构将能够减少多达80%的系统宕机时间，所减少的损失将直接转化为更高的收入。

应用可观察性，从组织发出的数据出发，利用人工智能进行分析并提出建议，使企业能够更快、更准确地做出未来的决策。当系统应用时，它可以减少响应延迟，实时优化业务操作。在任何相关方采取任何类型的行动时，都会产生包含了数字化特征的可观测数据，如日志、痕迹、API调用、停留时间、下载和文件传输等。应用可观测性以一种高度统筹和整合的方式将这些可观测的特征数据进行反馈，创造出一个决策循环，从而提高组织决策的有效性。Karamouzis表示：“可观测行应用使企业机构能够利用他们的数据特征来获得竞争优势。它能够在正确的时间提高正确数据的战略重要性，以便根据确认的相关方行动而不是意图采取快速行动，因此是一种强大的工具。如果能够在战略中予以规划并成功执行，可观测性应用将成为数据驱动型决策的最强大来源。”

AI信任、风险和安全管理，支持AI模型治理、可信性、公平性、可靠性、鲁棒性、有效性和数据保护。它结合了解释人工智能结果、快速部署新模型、积极管理人工智能安全、控制隐私和道德问题的方法。企业机构必须使用新的功能来保证模型的可靠性、可信度、安全性和数据保护。

These technology trends accelerate vertical offerings, increase the pace of product delivery and enable connectivity everywhere.

这些技术趋势加速了垂直产品的提供，加快了产品交付的速度，并使无处不在的连接成为可能。

Industry Cloud Platforms combine SaaS, PaaS and IaaS with tailored, industry-specific functionality that organizations can use to more easily adapt to the relentless stream of disruptions in their industry.

Platform Engineering provides a curated set of tools, capabilities and processes that are packaged for easy consumption by developers and end users. It will increase end users’ productivity and reduce the burden on development teams.

Wireless-Value Realization covers the provision of wireless network services from everything, including traditional end-user computing, support for edge devices, digital tagging solutions, etc. Such networks go well beyond pure connectivity, providing location and other real-time information and insight from analytics, and allow systems to harvest network energy directly.

行业云平台，将SaaS、PaaS和IaaS与量身定制的特定于行业的功能相结合，组织可以使用这些功能更容易地适应行业中持续不断的干扰流。

企业可以将行业云平台的打包功能作为基础模块，组合成独特、差异化的数字业务项目，在提高敏捷性、推动创新和缩短产品上市时间的同时避免单一厂商锁定。

Gartner预测，到2027年，超过50%的企业将使用行业云平台来加速他们的业务项目。

平台工程，提供了一组经过策划的工具、功能和过程，这些工具、功能和过程被打包，便于开发人员和最终用户使用。它将提高最终用户的生产力，并减少开发团队的负担。

Gartner预测，到2026年，80%的软件工程组织将建立平台团队，其中75%将包含开发者自助服务门户。

无线价值实现，涵盖了从各个方面提供无线网络服务，包括传统终端用户计算、对边缘设备的支持、数字标记解决方案等。这样的网络远远超出了纯粹的连接，提供位置和其他实时信息，并允许系统直接从分析中获取网络能量。

Gartner预测，到2025年，60%的企业将同时使用五种以上的无线技术。

These trends focus on enabling business model change, reinventing engagement with employees and customers, and accelerating strategies to tap new virtual markets.

这些趋势的重点是实现商业模式的改变，重塑与员工和客户的关系，加快开发新虚拟市场的战略。

Superapps are more than composite applications that aggregate services. A superapp combines the features of an app, a platform and an ecosystem in one application, providing a platform for third parties to develop and publish their own miniapps on.

Adaptive AI allows for model behavior change post-deployment by using real-time feedback, to continuously retrain models and learn within runtime and development environments, based on new data and adjusted goals, to adapt quickly to changing real-world circumstances.

Metaverse allows people to replicate or enhance their physical activities. This could happen by transporting or extending physical activities to a virtual world or by transforming the physical one. It is a combinatorial innovation made up of multiple technology themes and capabilities.

超级应用程序，不仅仅是聚合服务的复合应用程序。超级应用是将应用程序、平台和生态系统的功能结合在一个应用程序中，为第三方提供了一个开发和发布他们自己的微应用的平台。

Gartner预测，到2027年，全球50%以上的人口将成为多个超级应用的日活跃用户。

自适应AI，允许在部署后通过使用实时反馈来改变模型行为，基于新的数据和调整的目标，在运行时和开发环境中不断地重新训练模型和学习，以快速适应不断变化的现实环境。

元宇宙，允许人们复制或增强他们的身体活动。这可以通过将物理活动传输或扩展到虚拟世界，或通过改变物理世界来实现。它是由多种技术主题和能力组成的组合创新。Gartner预测，到2027年，全球超过40%的大型企业机构将在基于元宇宙的项目中使用Web3、增强现实（AR）云和数字孪生的组合来增加收入。

Delivering technology alone will not be enough in 2023. Sustainable technology is a framework of solutions that increases the energy and efficiency of IT services； enables enterprise sustainability through technologies like traceability, analytics, emissions management software and AI； and helps customers achieve their own sustainability objectives.

Investments in sustainable technology also have the potential to create greater operational resiliency and financial performance, while providing new avenues for growth.

在2023年，仅交付技术是不够的。可持续技术是提高IT服务的能源和效率的解决方案框架；通过可追溯、分析、排放管理软件和人工智能等技术实现企业可持续发展；并帮助客户实现他们自己的可持续发展目标。

对可持续技术的投资也有可能创造更大的业务弹性和财务业绩，同时提供新的增长途径。

In short：

Gartner’s Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends will help fulfill your business needs to optimize, scale or pioneer.

The trends allow you to align your technology innovation with the future strategic objectives of your enterprise.

Investments in sustainable technology provide operational and financial benefits, and can create growth opportunities.

简而言之：

Gartner的十大战略技术趋势将帮助您满足优化、扩展或开拓业务的需求。

这些趋势允许您将技术创新与企业的未来战略目标结合起来。

对可持续技术的投资可提供经营和财务效益，并可创造增长机会。